Origin of Futures Trading:
Along time ago, back in the days of
Caesar, farmers and herdsmen needed a place to go to
trade their commodities. Commodities, according to
Webster Dictionary, is any useful thing that is bought
and sold as an article of commerce. So, the farmers set
up a marketplace in which to trade the "commodities".
That was all well and good except for the problem of
timing. Unfortunately, corn and other grains only are
harvested at certain times of the year while the need
for these grains was consistent year-round.
The traders began making what is now
called a forward contract. A forward contract in the
commodities market is a contract made by two people
setup for the purchase and sale of a certain amount of
a certain commodity for delivery at a certain time. It
is considered a forward contract because delivery of
the good occurs in the future. These forward contracts
allowed farmers and herdsmen to guarantee a buyer for
their grains and herds at a certain price and in the
time frame that they needed. This went well for a
while; but, as time went on, they incurred some
problems.
For example, lets say Mark was a farmer of
wheat back in the Caesarian times. And, he agreed to
sell 5,000 bushels of wheat to Antony. Delivery was set
for September. All is going great until a flash flood
wiped out Marks entire crop. September comes around and
Antony approaches Mark to collect his new wheat. Well,
the price of wheat now has doubled and Mark does not
have any wheat. Oh, did I also tell you that Mark
skipped town. This poses a huge problem for Antony
since he must now find someone else who has wheat, but
also, he must pay double for it. Fortunately, this
welching problem was corrected by the formation of
"Guilds". The guilds were formed by the very traders
using the markets. The guilds hold the entire group of
users personally responsible. This allowed for
confidence and insurance that the contracts made in the
market would be backed by the full faith of the
markets.
Upon the fall of the Roman Empire, the
commodity markets followed in the same way. The "Dark
Ages" brought a type of market, which had no
centralized meeting place. A sort of nomadic group
would travel around from village to village and buy or
sell their supplies to those who needed them. Many
times, traders would trick others upon the purchase of
a pig. The buyer would choose the pig he or she wanted
and the seller would reach under the table to grab a
bag. Well, at the same time they were grabbing a bag,
they would drop the pig and place a cat into the bag.
What a surprise it must have been for the buyer to get
home only to find out they would be the proud owner a
cheap, useless cat instead of a pig. That is where the
term, "Let the cat out-of-the-bag" comes from. After
the dark ages, there was not a great deal of
information recorded on the markets until the mid-1800.
The first futures contract (which is much
like that of a forward contract) in our modern markets
as we know of them today was for 2,000 bushels of corn
traded in 1852. It was traded in a mid-sized town back
then on the coast of Lake Michigan. Yes, that mid-sized
town was Chicago, Illinois. A few years later, the
Chicago Board of Trade was founded. Things have not
changed much since then. Except for the chalk boards
where the prices were written upon are now digital and
the telegraph has been upgraded to the telephone,
everything else is pretty much the same. Today, there
are many boards of trade, Chicago, Kansas City,
Minneapolis, Montreal, QB; New York City, London, Hong
Kong and many other cities around the world.
You may wonder why do we need the markets
other than to have a place for producers and consumers
of these commodities to trade. Well, the producers and
consumers set up these markets to relieve themselves of
the risk of losing excessive amounts of money from
price fluctuation. You may ask where does the risk go?
Well, the answer is the speculator. A speculator is an
individual or a group of individuals that trade in the
markets purely for the opportunity to make money. They
are the traders that carry the risk in order to attempt
to profit off it.